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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ndb1primmUpTheBluesVenusian
Record (consensus markets)63% (1014–591, n=1605)50% (1151–1158, n=2309)49% (20671–21624, n=42295)47% (1330–1511, n=2841)
Consensus PnL$4.8M$3.6M$1.4M$92K
Tracked asPM monthly #98PM monthly #47PM monthly #8PM monthly #210
Sides with the consensus72% (63 of 87 open)75% (9 of 12 open)68% (30 of 44 open)56% (105 of 188 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +59 pts n=924, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicNFL −8 pts, n=147———
Settled positions, side won64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36%100% of 796 at avg 71¢, ROI +32%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 14% of 187)5% (won 94% of 51)7% (won 99% of 2699)7% (won 100% of 56)
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 39% of 269)41% (won 99% of 421)20% (won 100% of 7974)19% (won 100% of 148)
Entries 50–70¢23% (won 57% of 328)49% (won 99% of 508)22% (won 100% of 8588)17% (won 100% of 137)
Entries 70¢ and up44% (won 94% of 622)5% (won 100% of 47)52% (won 100% of 20470)57% (won 100% of 455)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketndb1primmUpTheBluesVenusian
CD Anaitasuna vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $170No $25
Will CE Sabadell FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $3No $8
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $6.4K——Under $50
Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee
same side · consensus Middle Tennessee
—Middle Tennessee $5.1K—Middle Tennessee $276
BYU vs. Utah: O/U 49.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $2.1K—Over $197
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
——Yes $2Yes $93