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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ndb1primmUpTheBluesZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG
Record (consensus markets)63% (992–576, n=1568)50% (1114–1128, n=2242)50% (20888–20588, n=41476)60% (6572–4446, n=11018)
Consensus PnL$3.2M$3.6M$3.1M$54K
Tracked asPM monthly #92PM monthly #50PM monthly #8PM monthly #538
Sides with the consensus70% (51 of 73 open)no open consensus position68% (30 of 44 open)61% (23 of 38 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicNFL −9 pts, n=139———
Settled positions, side won64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%98% of 2340 at avg 62¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 15% of 168)5% (won 94% of 51)7% (won 99% of 2623)7% (won 90% of 154)
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 39% of 256)41% (won 99% of 412)21% (won 100% of 7839)20% (won 96% of 476)
Entries 50–70¢24% (won 58% of 314)50% (won 99% of 503)22% (won 100% of 8452)34% (won 98% of 804)
Entries 70¢ and up43% (won 93% of 550)5% (won 100% of 47)51% (won 100% of 19323)39% (won 100% of 906)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketndb1primmUpTheBluesZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $21KOver $6
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.1KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $1.4KOver $10
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $15KNo $8