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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| ndb1 | rayvanmechelen | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 65% (888–469, n=1357) | 87% (2312–346, n=2658) | 47% (13363–14875, n=28238) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.2M | $30K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #147 | was PM monthly #1000 | PM monthly #25 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 74% (34 of 46 open) | 68% (45 of 66 open) | 66% (99 of 149 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 98% of 980 at avg 56¢, ROI +45% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 2% (won 95% of 21) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 32% (won 98% of 318) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 51% (won 98% of 504) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 14% (won 98% of 137) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
11 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | rayvanmechelen | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bratislava 2: Matej Dodig vs Michal Krajci opposite sides · consensus Matej Dodig | — | Michal Krajci $2 | Matej Dodig $9.0K |
| Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-09-06? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $7 | Yes $2.9K |
| FC Sion vs. FC Thun: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $9 | Over $930 |
| CA Rosario Central vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2 | Over $535 |
| Will Lyn 1896 FK win on 2026-09-06? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3 | Yes $3 |
| Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $974 | Over $7.9K |
| Will Virtus Entella win on 2026-09-06? same side · consensus No | — | No $11 | No $5.6K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $371 | No $2.5K |
| Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-09-06? same side · consensus No | — | No $29 | No $2.1K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $169 | Over $1.5K |
| Hertha BSC vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $15 | Under $783 |
| 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $82 | Over $81 |
| Will FK Mladá Boleslav win on 2026-09-06? same side · consensus No | — | No $3 | No $104 |
| Birmingham City FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1 | Under $57 |
| Will Mantova 1911 win on 2026-09-06? same side · consensus No | — | No $50 | No $3 |
| Will SK Beveren win on 2026-09-06? same side · consensus No | — | No $9 | No $20 |