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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ndb1 | rayvanmechelen | RN1 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 53% (2492–2226, n=4718) | 48% (14146–15606, n=29752) | 50% (20605–20391, n=40996) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.8M | $12K | $14.8M | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #96 | was PM monthly #981 | PM monthly #30 + pinned | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (52 of 73 open) | 64% (54 of 85 open) | 62% (37 of 60 open) | 68% (30 of 44 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NFL −9 pts, n=144 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 98% of 1031 at avg 56¢, ROI +45% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 15% of 186) | 2% (won 96% of 24) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) | 7% (won 99% of 2699) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 39% of 267) | 32% (won 98% of 333) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) | 20% (won 100% of 7974) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 58% of 326) | 51% (won 98% of 527) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) | 22% (won 100% of 8588) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 44% (won 94% of 619) | 14% (won 97% of 147) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) | 52% (won 100% of 20470) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
14 on the same side, 17 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | rayvanmechelen | RN1 | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $1.6K | Under $21K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $360 | Under $7.6K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $1.9K | No $5.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $3.3K | Under $1.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $7 | No $2.7K |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K | Athletic Club $226 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $36 | Under $1.5K |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $1.1K | Yes $74 |
| Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $11 | — | Yes $757 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $192 | No $249 |
| Spread: Spurs (-15.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | — | Spurs $294 | Kings $111 | — |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 | Athletic Club $354 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $61 | No $174 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $29 | Under $12 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $20 | Over $5 |
| Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus CD Pamplona | — | SD Eibar $5 | — | CD Pamplona $6 |
| Will CE Sabadell FC win on 2026-10-28? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $7 | — | Yes $3 |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $304 | — | No $15K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $2.5K | No $3.1K |
| Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $9 | No $2.9K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $1.1K | Under $960 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.3K | Under $64 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $42 | Under $801 |
| Will Bursaspor win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | — | No $7 | No $815 | — |
| Chennai Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Lucrezia Stefanini same side · consensus Anastasia Zakharova | — | Anastasia Zakharova $9 | Anastasia Zakharova $393 | — |
| Will FK Polissia win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $173 | — | Yes $6 |
| 76ers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 230.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $62 | Over $20 | — |
| Antalyaspor vs. Bursaspor: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1 | Under $54 | — |
| NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs. NK Rudeš: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $4 | Under $41 | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-7.5) same side · consensus Hornets | — | Hornets $9 | Hornets $8 | — |
| Gaziantep FK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $10 | Under $1 | — |