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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ndb1 | primm | rayvanmechelen | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 65% (892–472, n=1364) | 50% (1082–1097, n=2179) | 54% (2325–2004, n=4329) | 47% (13369–14864, n=28233) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.6M | $3.6M | $23K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #97 | PM monthly #51 | was PM monthly #1000 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 78% (39 of 50 open) | 64% (27 of 42 open) | 60% (24 of 40 open) | 58% (108 of 187 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 98% of 988 at avg 56¢, ROI +45% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 2% (won 95% of 22) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 41% (won 99% of 405) | 32% (won 98% of 321) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 49% (won 99% of 485) | 51% (won 98% of 507) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 5% (won 100% of 46) | 14% (won 98% of 138) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
20 on the same side, 26 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | primm | rayvanmechelen | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Central Michigan (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan | — | Central Michigan $4.2K | — | Eastern Michigan $2.0K |
| Will Millonarios FC win on 2026-11-03? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $808 | No $4.6K |
| Spread: Toledo (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State | — | Toledo $4.2K | — | Sacramento State $765 |
| Spread: UMass (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus UMass | — | Ball State $2.8K | — | UMass $1.2K |
| Spread: UMass (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Ball State | — | Ball State $2.5K | — | UMass $1.0K |
| Ball State vs. UMass: O/U 51.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $3.0K | — | Under $242 |
| Spread: Toledo (-27.5) opposite sides · consensus Toledo | — | Toledo $2.2K | — | Sacramento State $800 |
| Spread: Toledo (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Toledo | — | Sacramento State $80 | — | Toledo $2.8K |
| Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 49.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $797 | — | Over $2.1K |
| Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 53.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $2.5K | — | Under $3 |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan | — | Eastern Michigan $1.4K | — | Central Michigan $815 |
| Spread: Toledo (-17.5) opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State | — | Toledo $298 | — | Sacramento State $1.5K |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan | — | Eastern Michigan $984 | — | Central Michigan $597 |
| Spread: UMass (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Ball State | — | Ball State $900 | — | UMass $663 |
| Spread: Toledo (-26.5) opposite sides · consensus Toledo | — | Toledo $1.0K | — | Sacramento State $463 |
| FC Sion vs. FC Thun: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $9 | Over $930 |
| Spread: UMass (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus UMass | — | Ball State $480 | — | UMass $457 |
| FC Sion vs. FC Thun: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $5 | Over $747 |
| Spread: Toledo (-30.5) opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State | — | Toledo $243 | — | Sacramento State $462 |
| Spread: Toledo (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State | — | Toledo $142 | — | Sacramento State $211 |
| Spread: Thunder (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Thunder | — | — | Cavaliers $9 | Thunder $270 |
| Spread: Eastern Michigan (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan | — | Eastern Michigan $161 | — | Central Michigan $50 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | — | — | Pacers $14 | Grizzlies $123 |
| Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $10 | Over $85 |
| Spread: Lakers (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | — | — | Kings $9 | Lakers $3 |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan | — | Central Michigan $6 | — | Eastern Michigan $4 |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-14.5) same side · consensus Central Michigan | — | Central Michigan $4.9K | — | Central Michigan $3.3K |
| Will Virtus Entella win on 2026-09-06? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $11 | No $5.6K |
| Ball State vs. UMass: O/U 43.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $4.0K | — | Over $211 |
| Spread: Ball State (-1.5) same side · consensus UMass | — | UMass $3.1K | — | UMass $1.1K |
| Spread: Ball State (-2.5) same side · consensus UMass | — | UMass $3.0K | — | UMass $804 |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $371 | No $2.4K |
| Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 51.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $2.6K | — | Over $179 |
| Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-09-06? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $29 | No $2.1K |
| Spread: Toledo (-33.5) same side · consensus Sacramento State | — | Toledo $1.5K | — | Toledo $377 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $169 | Over $1.5K |
| Spread: Toledo (-20.5) same side · consensus Toledo | — | Toledo $438 | — | Toledo $773 |
| Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan: O/U 37.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $540 | — | Under $429 |
| Hertha BSC vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $15 | Under $783 |
| Spread: Toledo (-23.5) same side · consensus Toledo | — | Toledo $176 | — | Toledo $429 |
| Spread: Pelicans (-6.5) same side · consensus Pelicans | — | — | Pelicans $3 | Pelicans $280 |
| Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 37.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $182 | — | Under $11 |
| Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $10 | Under $169 |
| Spread: Pelicans (-5.5) same side · consensus Jazz | — | — | Pelicans $3 | Pelicans $135 |
| Birmingham City FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1 | Under $57 |
| Will Mantova 1911 win on 2026-09-06? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $50 | No $3 |