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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | ndb1 | rayvanmechelen | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (7739–7030, n=14769) | 63% (1096–631, n=1727) | 53% (2840–2508, n=5348) | 48% (17938–19366, n=37304) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.1M | $4.6M | $6.3K | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #16 | PM monthly #108 | was PM monthly #981 | PM monthly #31 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (68 of 93 open) | 75% (78 of 104 open) | 60% (12 of 20 open) | 55% (17 of 31 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 98% of 1147 at avg 56¢, ROI +45% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 3% (won 97% of 29) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 31% (won 98% of 361) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 52% (won 98% of 594) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 14% (won 98% of 163) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
18 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | ndb1 | rayvanmechelen | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $13K | — | — | Over $1.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.5K | — | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $859 | — | — | Over $3.0K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.1K | — | — | Yes $7 |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $2.7K | — | No $296 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | — | — | Over $36 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $446 | — | — | Under $1.4K |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | No $873 | — | — | Yes $315 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $471 | — | — | No $524 |
| Vitesse Arnhem vs. De Graafschap: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $349 | — | Over $563 | — |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $837 | — | — | Yes $60 |
| FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $686 | — | No $21 | — |
| Will FK Polissia win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $280 | — | Yes $173 | — |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $272 | — | — | No $11 |
| Utebo FC vs. CE Sabadell FC: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $197 | — | Under $2 | — |
| Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus CD Pamplona | CD Pamplona $136 | — | SD Eibar $5 | — |
| Brisbane 3: Alafia Ayeni vs Edward Winter opposite sides · consensus Edward Winter | Edward Winter $3 | — | — | Alafia Ayeni $133 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $6 | — | — | Over $29 |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $14K | — | — | No $2.5K |
| USC Trojans vs. Wichita State Shockers same side · consensus USC Trojans | USC Trojans $2.4K | — | — | USC Trojans $2.1K |
| Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko same side · consensus Sebastian Dominko | Patrick Zahraj $2.1K | — | — | Patrick Zahraj $1.8K |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111 | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K |
| Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14? same side · consensus No | No $1.2K | — | No $12 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $95 | — | — | Under $1.1K |
| Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5) same side · consensus Boluspor | Boluspor $751 | — | — | Boluspor $44 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $702 | — | — | Under $20 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $173 | — | — | Yes $240 |
| Will Vitesse Arnhem win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus Yes | No $350 | — | No $19 | — |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| Spread: FK Polissia (-1.5) same side · consensus FK Kolos Kovalivka | FK Kolos Kovalivka $217 | — | FK Kolos Kovalivka $15 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $177 | — | — | Under $41 |
| Will Tamworth FC win on 2026-10-23? same side · consensus No | No $133 | — | No $20 | — |
| Will FK Karpaty Lviv win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | No $130 | — | No $5 | — |
| Will Huddersfield Town AFC win on 2026-11-14? same side · consensus No | No $100 | — | No $6 | — |
| Exact Score: Vitesse Arnhem 0 - 0 De Graafschap? same side · consensus No | No $4 | — | — | No $26 |
| UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card) same side · consensus Josh Hokit | Ciryl Gane $4 | — | Ciryl Gane $10 | — |