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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
neymar1BreakTheBankCORGII
Record (consensus markets)33% (355–716, n=1071)45% (526–640, n=1166)62% (393–245, n=638)
Consensus PnL$156K$10.6M$4.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #414PM monthly #1PM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus61% (11 of 18 open)73% (72 of 99 open)25% (1 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won82% of 454 at avg 37¢, ROI +48%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢32% (won 66% of 146)10% (won 85% of 53)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢46% (won 87% of 207)36% (won 98% of 192)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢21% (won 96% of 97)35% (won 99% of 187)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up1% (won 100% of 4)20% (won 100% of 107)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketneymar1BreakTheBankCORGII
Chiefs vs. Broncos
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Broncos $472Chiefs $465K—
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.6KNo $40K—
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $179No $16K—
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $300Yes $37K—
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $262Yes $3.0K—
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $79Yes $118—