← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| nigiri99 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (5854–7018, n=12872) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 47% (13858–15341, n=29199) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | -$409K | $10.6M | $13.4M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #42 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 38% (42 of 110 open) | 90% (146 of 163 open) | 50% (4 of 8 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Esports −2 pts, n=1324 | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=93 |
| Settled positions, side won | 45% of 10411 at avg 46¢, ROI +1% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 20% (won 16% of 2120) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 37% (won 42% of 3821) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 30% (won 57% of 63) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 32% (won 57% of 3361) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 11% (won 79% of 1109) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
9 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.