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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| nonkenny90 | beachboy4 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 91% (4703–460, n=5163) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 48% (12930–14106, n=27036) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) |
| Consensus PnL | $87K | $5.8M | $13.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #959 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 95% (111 of 117 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 50% (6 of 12 open) | 85% (53 of 62 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Finance −3 pts, n=168 | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 93% of 5634 at avg 92¢, ROI +2% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 8% of 39) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 1% (won 30% of 43) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 2% (won 57% of 134) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 96% (won 95% of 5418) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | nonkenny90 | beachboy4 | RN1 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $3.8K | — | — | No $202K |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $35K | — | — | Yes $85K |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $2.7K | — | — | Yes $36K |
| Eagles vs. Commanders same side · consensus Commanders | — | — | Commanders $28K | Commanders $1.1M |