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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| okcoolstorybro | BreakTheBank | RN1 | CORGII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 74% (358–128, n=486) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 62% (393–245, n=638) |
| Consensus PnL | $2.4K | $10.6M | $13.4M | $4.5M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #68 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (3 of 6 open) | 72% (73 of 101 open) | 54% (64 of 118 open) | 0% (0 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Elections −7 pts, n=41 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 80% of 491 at avg 79¢, ROI +1% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 12% of 50) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 9% (won 92% of 36) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 59% of 32) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 56% (won 99% of 223) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 8% (won 40% of 40) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 33% (won 100% of 133) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 75% (won 95% of 369) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 2% (won 100% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | okcoolstorybro | BreakTheBank | RN1 | CORGII |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cardinals $59K | Cowboys $12K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.2K | Yes $37K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $1.9K | No $35K | — | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cardinals $3.0K | Cowboys $1.4K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $51K | Magic $228 | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $13K | Magic $161 | — |