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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| paddaa | RN1 | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (292–273, n=565) | 47% (13849–15328, n=29177) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 56% (101–79, n=180) |
| Consensus PnL | $211K | $13.4M | $10.6M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #36 + pinned | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #373 |
| Sides with the consensus | 47% (53 of 113 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 89% (143 of 160 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Elections −2 pts, n=167 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 48% of 933 at avg 44¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 43% (won 9% of 401) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 7% (won 75% of 8) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 46% of 148) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 26% (won 93% of 29) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 73% of 102) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 42% (won 96% of 47) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 94% of 282) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 24% (won 96% of 27) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | paddaa | RN1 | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $11K | — | No $32K | — |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | No $9.2K | — | No $292K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $8.0K | — | Yes $270K | — |