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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| para-Vision | BreakTheBank | RN1 | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (213–159, n=372) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $521K | $10.6M | $13.4M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #55 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (4 of 8 open) | 72% (74 of 103 open) | 65% (93 of 142 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −2 pts, n=93 | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 358 at avg 55¢, ROI +10% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 27% (won 51% of 96) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 67% (won 60% of 239) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 6% (won 86% of 21) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | para-Vision | BreakTheBank | RN1 | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raiders vs. Jets same side · consensus Raiders | Raiders $7.4K | Raiders $209K | Raiders $17 | — |
| Browns vs. Steelers opposite sides · consensus Steelers | — | Browns $255K | Steelers $5.5K | — |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cardinals $59K | Cowboys $11K | — |
| Spread: Raiders (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | — | Raiders $17K | Jets $400 | — |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | Falcons $8.6K | Buccaneers $1.9K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | — | Cardinals $3.0K | Cowboys $1.4K | — |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $104K | Raiders $2.3K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) same side · consensus Cardinals | — | Cardinals $35K | Cardinals $714 | — |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $24K | Raiders $1.1K | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Jaguars | — | Jaguars $20K | Jaguars $643 | — |