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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
pauleta23RN1CORGII0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
Record (consensus markets)65% (15655–8312, n=23967)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)62% (393–245, n=638)56% (101–79, n=180)
Consensus PnL$243K$13.4M$4.5M$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #843PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #68was PM monthly #373
Sides with the consensus67% (20 of 30 open)71% (15 of 21 open)25% (1 of 4 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won84% of 10562 at avg 61¢, ROI +25%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 32% of 1300)10% (won 56% of 2534)9% (won 92% of 36)7% (won 75% of 8)
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 77% of 1979)22% (won 94% of 5497)56% (won 99% of 223)26% (won 93% of 29)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 91% of 3088)36% (won 99% of 8897)33% (won 100% of 133)42% (won 96% of 47)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 97% of 4195)31% (won 100% of 7736)2% (won 100% of 7)24% (won 96% of 27)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketpauleta23RN1CORGII0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Falcons
Buccaneers $201Falcons $2.7K——
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $20No $2.6K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $18Over $3.0K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $18Over $2.4K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $7Over $382——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
Yes $13Yes $10——