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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| perfectnostalgia | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (238–220, n=458) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | $155K | $5.8M | $10.6M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 76% (16 of 21 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 73% (72 of 98 open) | 63% (5 of 8 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Politics −4 pts, n=15 | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 51% of 591 at avg 48¢, ROI +5% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 41% (won 14% of 245) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 42% of 97) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 8% (won 61% of 49) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 34% (won 98% of 200) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | perfectnostalgia | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs vs. Broncos opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | — | — | Chiefs $465K | Broncos $7.4K |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $4.7K | — | No $184K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $2.2K | — | No $35K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.7K | — | Yes $21K | — |