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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| poptree | sainttroplay | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 70% (290–124, n=414) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 48% (12778–13831, n=26609) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $332K | $4.4M | $13.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (6 of 6 open) | no open consensus position | 63% (87 of 138 open) | 70% (57 of 82 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 70% of 438 at avg 62¢, ROI +4% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 26% (won 11% of 116) | 0% | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 8% (won 49% of 35) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 9% (won 85% of 41) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 56% (won 99% of 246) | 0% | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | poptree | sainttroplay | RN1 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Steelers (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Browns | — | — | Steelers $51 | Browns $300K |
| Browns vs. Steelers opposite sides · consensus Steelers | — | — | Steelers $3.4K | Browns $259K |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | — | — | Jets $255 | Raiders $105K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $22K | — | — | No $35K |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $14K | — | — | Yes $38K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | — | — | Cowboys $23 | Cardinals $32K |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | — | Buccaneers $1.3K | Falcons $8.6K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | — | Cowboys $611 | Cardinals $2.7K |