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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| purplegatto | BreakTheBank | RN1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (5116–5036, n=10152) | 45% (537–647, n=1184) | 48% (12899–14013, n=26912) | 50% (969–959, n=1928) |
| Consensus PnL | -$1.8M | $10.6M | $13.4M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #99 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 65% (11 of 17 open) | 74% (75 of 101 open) | 67% (6 of 9 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 98% of 4351 at avg 62¢, ROI +20% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 6% (won 87% of 246) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 21% (won 97% of 927) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 39% (won 98% of 1692) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 34% (won 100% of 1486) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | purplegatto | BreakTheBank | RN1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $41K | No $202K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $29K | No $35K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $32K | No $11K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $4.1K | Yes $4.1K | — | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $39K | Yes $272K | — | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $36K | Yes $171K | — | — |
| Spread: Steelers (-5.5) same side · consensus Browns | — | — | Steelers $14 | Steelers $963 |
| Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $10 | Yes $182 | — | — |