← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| purplegatto | RN1 | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (5130–5034, n=10164) | 48% (12896–14023, n=26919) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | -$1.8M | $13.4M | $10.6M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #99 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (18 of 28 open) | 63% (17 of 27 open) | 81% (58 of 72 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 98% of 4351 at avg 62¢, ROI +20% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 6% (won 87% of 246) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 21% (won 97% of 927) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 39% (won 98% of 1692) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 34% (won 100% of 1486) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | purplegatto | RN1 | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $41K | — | No $202K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $30K | — | No $34K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $39K | — | Yes $270K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $54K | — | Yes $170K | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $433 | Commanders $161K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $999 | — | No $112K | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-4.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $125 | Commanders $32K | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-7.5) same side · consensus Eagles | Eagles $17K | Eagles $5.8K | — | — |
| Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $15 | — | Yes $273 | — |