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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| purplegatto | RN1 | BreakTheBank | CORGII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (5134–5064, n=10198) | 48% (12930–14106, n=27036) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 62% (393–246, n=639) |
| Consensus PnL | -$1.8M | $13.4M | $10.6M | $4.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #99 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #68 |
| Sides with the consensus | 65% (11 of 17 open) | 64% (7 of 11 open) | 85% (52 of 61 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 98% of 4351 at avg 62¢, ROI +20% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 6% (won 87% of 246) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 9% (won 92% of 36) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 21% (won 97% of 927) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 56% (won 99% of 223) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 39% (won 98% of 1692) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 33% (won 100% of 133) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 34% (won 100% of 1486) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 2% (won 100% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | purplegatto | RN1 | BreakTheBank | CORGII |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $41K | — | No $202K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $30K | — | No $34K | — |
| Eagles vs. Commanders same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $27K | Commanders $1.1M | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $39K | — | Yes $274K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $54K | — | Yes $170K | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-7.5) same side · consensus Eagles | Eagles $15K | Eagles $6.3K | — | — |
| Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $15 | — | Yes $273 | — |