← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| qwen300.fund | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 39% (2614–4022, n=6636) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 47% (13868–15346, n=29214) |
| Consensus PnL | $240K | $5.8M | $10.6M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #19 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 93% (179 of 193 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 90% (149 of 165 open) | 88% (14 of 16 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Weather −3 pts, n=1468 | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 43% of 2980 at avg 45¢, ROI −1% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 57% (won 2% of 1695) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 1% (won 46% of 35) | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 1% (won 70% of 27) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 41% (won 98% of 1223) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | qwen300.fund | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $7 | — | Yes $22K | — |
| Will Republicans win Maine and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2 | — | Yes $5.0K | — |
| Will Republicans win Maine and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2 | — | Yes $5.0K | — |
| Will Republicans win Kansas and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3 | — | Yes $728 | — |