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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| rdba | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (63–48, n=111) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | $435K | $5.8M | $10.6M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 52% (13 of 25 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 74% (73 of 99 open) | 55% (6 of 11 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 81% of 170 at avg 74¢, ROI +3% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 7% of 29) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 64% of 11) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 6% (won 82% of 11) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 70% (won 100% of 119) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | rdba | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $530K | — | No $184K | — |
| Chiefs vs. Broncos opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | — | — | Chiefs $465K | Broncos $2.0K |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $4.2K | — | Yes $4.7K | — |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $382 | Yes $4.2K | — | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) same side · consensus Cowboys | — | — | Cardinals $3.0K | Cardinals $1.1K |