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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
salahmhBreakTheBankRN1
Record (consensus markets)51% (280–269, n=549)45% (526–640, n=1166)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL$659K$10.6M$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #271PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus40% (2 of 5 open)72% (74 of 103 open)64% (95 of 149 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +49 pts n=256, ROI +49%
  • NBA +50 pts n=22, ROI +43%
  • Esports +52 pts n=13, ROI +38%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won99% of 317 at avg 50¢, ROI +49%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 95% of 37)10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢34% (won 100% of 107)36% (won 98% of 192)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢42% (won 98% of 133)35% (won 99% of 187)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up13% (won 100% of 40)20% (won 100% of 107)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketsalahmhBreakTheBankRN1
Browns vs. Steelers
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
—Browns $255KSteelers $5.5K
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.8KYes $258K—
Raiders vs. Jets
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $171KJets $192
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $59KCowboys $11K
Spread: Raiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Raiders $17KJets $400
Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
—Falcons $8.6KBuccaneers $1.9K
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
—Cardinals $3.0KCowboys $1.4K
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $63Yes $193—
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $104KRaiders $2.3K
Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)
same side · consensus Cardinals
—Cardinals $35KCardinals $714
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $24KRaiders $1.1K
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
—Jaguars $20KJaguars $643