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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| sbimbg | BreakTheBank | RN1 | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 71% (3048–1271, n=4319) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $124K | $10.6M | $13.4M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #932 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 55% (47 of 86 open) | 73% (72 of 98 open) | 61% (28 of 46 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −5 pts, n=73 | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 78% of 3987 at avg 72¢, ROI +4% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 18% of 452) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 50% of 294) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 17% (won 68% of 683) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 64% (won 95% of 2558) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | sbimbg | BreakTheBank | RN1 | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $6 | No $411K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $277 | No $590 | — | — |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $745 | Yes $258K | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $51K | Magic $228 | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $13K | Magic $161 | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Ohio? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1 | Yes $11K | — | — |