← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| scout | RN1 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 90% (538–59, n=597) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $307K | $13.4M | $10.6M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #569 + pinned | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (6 of 6 open) | 63% (97 of 153 open) | 72% (74 of 103 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | Elections −2 pts, n=63 | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 91% of 841 at avg 91¢, ROI +1% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 5% (won 15% of 41) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 2% (won 15% of 20) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 2% (won 63% of 16) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 91% (won 98% of 764) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | scout | RN1 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Browns vs. Steelers opposite sides · consensus Steelers | — | Steelers $5.5K | Browns $255K | — |
| Raiders vs. Jets opposite sides · consensus Raiders | — | Jets $192 | Raiders $171K | — |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cowboys $11K | Cardinals $59K | — |
| Spread: Raiders (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | — | Jets $400 | Raiders $17K | — |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | Buccaneers $1.9K | Falcons $8.6K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | — | Cowboys $1.4K | Cardinals $3.0K | — |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $2.3K | Raiders $104K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) same side · consensus Cardinals | — | Cardinals $714 | Cardinals $35K | — |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $1.1K | Raiders $24K | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Jaguars | — | Jaguars $643 | Jaguars $20K | — |