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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| takeormake | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 55% (2310–1925, n=4235) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | $986K | $5.8M | $10.6M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #25 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 54% (29 of 54 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 73% (72 of 99 open) | 60% (6 of 10 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 87% of 2057 at avg 57¢, ROI +12% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 33% of 220) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 84% of 413) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 45% (won 96% of 918) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 25% (won 98% of 506) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | takeormake | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs vs. Broncos opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | Broncos $52K | — | Chiefs $465K | Broncos $7.4K |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Celtics $122 | — | Magic $13K | — |
| Spread: Chiefs (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Broncos | Broncos $10K | — | Chiefs $1.2K | — |
| Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $951 | — | Yes $193 | — |
| Spread: Rams (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Rams | Chargers $50 | — | — | Rams $1.0K |
| Spread: Celtics (-7.5) same side · consensus Magic | Magic $125 | — | Magic $76K | — |
| Chargers vs. Rams same side · consensus Chargers | Chargers $74K | — | — | Chargers $1.1K |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | Magic $1.6K | — | Magic $51K | — |
| Chargers vs. Rams: O/U 42.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $5 | — | — | Over $3.0K |
| Spread: Chargers (-1.5) same side · consensus Chargers | Chargers $158 | — | — | Chargers $595 |