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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| thebug44 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 38% (55–90, n=145) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | $185K | $4.4M | $10.6M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #989 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 80% (16 of 20 open) | no open consensus position | 72% (78 of 108 open) | 63% (20 of 32 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | NFL ±0 pts, n=14 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 45% of 101 at avg 35¢, ROI +12% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 49% (won 14% of 49) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 65% of 20) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 21% (won 76% of 21) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 11% (won 82% of 11) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | thebug44 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | — | Bills $51K | Ravens $696 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $2.8K | — | No $35K | — |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | — | — | Raiders $24K | Jets $284 |
| Spread: Bills (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | — | Bills $2.1K | Ravens $376 |
| Ravens vs. Bills same side · consensus Bills | — | — | Bills $378K | Bills $395 |
| Raiders vs. Jets same side · consensus Raiders | — | — | Raiders $171K | Raiders $5.8K |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $42 | — | Yes $16K | — |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $9.9K | — | Yes $4.7K | — |
| Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $8.9K | — | Yes $4.4K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) same side · consensus Cowboys | — | — | Cardinals $3.0K | Cardinals $1.1K |