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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
themagicofcinemaBreakTheBank0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241CORGII
Record (consensus markets)71% (391–158, n=549)45% (526–640, n=1166)56% (101–79, n=180)62% (393–245, n=638)
Consensus PnL$46K$10.6M$3.5M$4.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #635PM monthly #1was PM monthly #373PM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus55% (6 of 11 open)74% (73 of 98 open)no open consensus position25% (1 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topicMentions −6 pts, n=15———
Settled positions, side won74% of 497 at avg 71¢, ROI +1%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢20% (won 5% of 97)10% (won 85% of 53)7% (won 75% of 8)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 38% of 29)36% (won 98% of 192)26% (won 93% of 29)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢9% (won 76% of 45)35% (won 99% of 187)42% (won 96% of 47)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up66% (won 98% of 326)20% (won 100% of 107)24% (won 96% of 27)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketthemagicofcinemaBreakTheBank0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241CORGII
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $10No $24K——
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2Yes $15K——
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Ohio?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $68Yes $11K——
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Michigan and Ohio?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $55Yes $11K——
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4Yes $5.0K——