← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| themagicofcinema | BreakTheBank | CORGII | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 71% (391–158, n=549) | 45% (537–652, n=1189) | 61% (393–247, n=640) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | $46K | $10.6M | $4.5M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #635 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #68 | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (6 of 10 open) | 85% (50 of 59 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | Mentions −6 pts, n=15 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 74% of 496 at avg 71¢, ROI +1% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 20% (won 5% of 97) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 38% of 29) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 9% (won 76% of 45) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 66% (won 98% of 325) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | themagicofcinema | BreakTheBank | CORGII | 00gringo00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $10 | No $26K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2 | Yes $14K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Ohio? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $60 | Yes $10K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Michigan and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $45 | Yes $9.3K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Ohio and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1 | Yes $6.4K | — | — |