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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| topdogbigboi | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (3528–4316, n=7844) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | $435 | $10.6M | $3.5M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #967 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 56% (51 of 91 open) | 74% (73 of 98 open) | no open consensus position | 50% (11 of 22 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 1153 at avg 62¢, ROI +44% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 97% of 112) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 22% (won 100% of 257) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 0% | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 27% (won 100% of 313) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 41% (won 100% of 471) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | topdogbigboi | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs vs. Broncos opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | Broncos $47 | Chiefs $465K | — | Broncos $6.8K |
| Spread: Chiefs (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | Broncos $77 | Chiefs $152K | — | — |
| Chargers vs. Rams: O/U 42.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $62 | — | — | Over $3.0K |
| Spread: Dolphins (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Dolphins | Dolphins $42 | — | — | Patriots $1.8K |
| Spread: Chiefs (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Broncos | Broncos $9 | Chiefs $1.2K | — | — |
| Spread: Rams (-17.5) opposite sides · consensus Chargers | Chargers $29 | — | — | Rams $849 |
| Spread: Chargers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Chargers | Rams $203 | — | — | Chargers $595 |
| Spread: Rams (-20.5) opposite sides · consensus Chargers | Chargers $3 | — | — | Rams $768 |
| Chargers vs. Rams: O/U 46.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $44 | — | — | Under $250 |
| Spread: Patriots (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Patriots | Dolphins $75 | — | — | Patriots $14 |
| Patriots vs. Dolphins: O/U 42.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $57 | — | — | Over $22 |
| Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 44.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $4 | — | — | Over $4 |
| Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $126 | — | — | Over $3.2K |
| Spread: Rams (-6.5) same side · consensus Rams | Rams $336 | — | — | Rams $1.0K |
| Spread: Dolphins (-3.5) same side · consensus Patriots | Patriots $48 | — | — | Patriots $1.3K |
| Spread: Patriots (-6.5) same side · consensus Dolphins | Dolphins $114 | — | — | Dolphins $1.1K |
| Spread: Patriots (-4.5) same side · consensus Patriots | Dolphins $47 | — | — | Dolphins $79 |
| Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 50.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $20 | — | — | Over $7 |