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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| topdogbigboi | RN1 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (3666–4562, n=8228) | 48% (12896–14023, n=26919) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $435 | $13.4M | $3.5M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #967 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #373 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (23 of 36 open) | 62% (13 of 21 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 1153 at avg 62¢, ROI +44% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 97% of 112) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 22% (won 100% of 257) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 27% (won 100% of 313) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 41% (won 100% of 471) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | topdogbigboi | RN1 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Commanders (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Commanders | Commanders $66 | Eagles $1.6K | — | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Commanders | Eagles $49 | Commanders $1.4K | — | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | Eagles $44 | Commanders $675 | — | — |
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $82 | Under $476 | — | — |
| Spread: Eagles (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | Commanders $59 | Eagles $27 | — | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-9.5) same side · consensus Eagles | Eagles $117 | Eagles $2.1K | — | — |
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $15 | Over $678 | — | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) same side · consensus Commanders | Commanders $47 | Commanders $65 | — | — |
| CF Cruz Azul vs. Club León FC: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $3 | Over $7 | — | — |