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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| troim | CORGII | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 35% (290–531, n=821) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $89K | $4.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #895 + pinned | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 45% (33 of 74 open) | 0% (0 of 4 open) | 72% (78 of 108 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 65% of 571 at avg 41¢, ROI +9% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 41% (won 33% of 234) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 17% (won 77% of 97) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 90% of 135) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 18% (won 96% of 105) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | troim | CORGII | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1.3K | — | No $411K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1.1K | — | No $252K |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $5.6K | — | Yes $37K |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.2K | — | Yes $38K |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $2.0K | — | No $24K |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $3.8K | — | No $10K |