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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
wowitsamazingRN1BreakTheBankprimm
Record (consensus markets)58% (11052–7940, n=18992)48% (12930–14106, n=27036)45% (537–650, n=1187)50% (986–968, n=1954)
Consensus PnL-$1.5M$13.4M$10.6M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #997PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position46% (6 of 13 open)85% (53 of 62 open)63% (5 of 8 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicCrypto −14 pts, n=13192———
Settled positions, side won54% of 13193 at avg 68¢, ROI −27%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 10% of 625)10% (won 56% of 2534)10% (won 85% of 53)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢11% (won 28% of 1397)22% (won 94% of 5497)36% (won 98% of 192)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢24% (won 43% of 3165)36% (won 99% of 8897)35% (won 99% of 187)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up61% (won 66% of 8006)31% (won 100% of 7736)20% (won 100% of 107)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketwowitsamazingRN1BreakTheBankprimm
Spread: Commanders (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
——Commanders $44KEagles $1.3K
Spread: Eagles (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
—Commanders $2.1K—Eagles $858
Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $664—Under $1.5K
Spread: Commanders (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
—Commanders $1.5K—Eagles $3
Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $491—Under $655
Spread: Commanders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
—Commanders $23—Eagles $412
Eagles vs. Commanders
same side · consensus Commanders
—Commanders $28KCommanders $1.1M—
Spread: Commanders (-6.5)
same side · consensus Commanders
——Commanders $188KCommanders $1.3K