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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| xtxpleasecallme | 00gringo00 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 29% (6339–15859, n=22198) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (537–652, n=1189) |
| Consensus PnL | $125K | $3.5M | $4.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #35 + pinned | was PM monthly #19 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 52% (78 of 151 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 85% (53 of 62 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | MLB −4 pts, n=51 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 35% of 6676 at avg 28¢, ROI +9% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 67% (won 9% of 4479) | 0% | 0% | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 8% (won 67% of 503) | 0% | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 7% (won 89% of 439) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 99% of 1255) | 0% | 0% | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | xtxpleasecallme | 00gringo00 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $430 | — | — | Yes $85K |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $174 | — | — | Yes $34K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $301 | — | — | No $32K |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $50 | — | — | Yes $32K |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $108 | — | — | Yes $15K |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus No | No $155 | — | — | No $292K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House same side · consensus No | No $881 | — | — | No $250K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $386 | — | — | Yes $170K |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $141 | — | — | Yes $30K |