← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| zb8 | RN1 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (529–465, n=994) | 48% (12899–14013, n=26912) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (537–647, n=1184) |
| Consensus PnL | $445K | $13.4M | $5.8M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #72 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 70% (7 of 10 open) | 67% (6 of 9 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 73% (78 of 107 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | Crypto −14 pts, n=15 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 925 at avg 54¢, ROI +8% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 27% (won 11% of 251) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 18% (won 46% of 170) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 19% (won 73% of 180) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 35% (won 96% of 324) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | zb8 | RN1 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eagles vs. Commanders opposite sides · consensus Commanders | Eagles $20K | — | — | Commanders $1.2M |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $2.8K | — | — | No $202K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $5.6K | — | — | No $35K |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $6.0K | — | — | No $11K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $16K | — | — | Yes $171K |