Resolution Proposed
A resolution has been proposed and is in the challenge window. Awaiting UMA oracle settlement.
Matsuyama: Rei Sakamoto vs Renta Tokuda
14 of 18 top Polymarket traders hold Rei Sakamoto (78%) · Rei Sakamoto at 100¢ · $21K held · awaiting resolution
⏳
Pending
18
Rei Sakamoto 78%
1 arb excluded
$21.3K
$270.13
Smart Money Signal
14 of 18 top traders (78%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VE Venusian | Rei Sakamotoavg 96.7¢ | $8.1K | $8.3K | +$268.35 | 24% 184-596 (780) |
LI Limousin | Rei Sakamotoavg 95¢ | $7.6K | $7.8K | +$226.02 | 23% 174-599 (773) |
FL Flaznorp | Rei Sakamotoavg 92.3¢ | $1.7K | $1.8K | +$102 | 50% 1275-1295 (2570) |
LI LightParadox | Rei Sakamotoavg 89.5¢ | $842.7 | $921.65 | +$78.95 | 23% 176-590 (766) |
38 38791873984189 | Rei Sakamotoavg 97¢ | $695.72 | $622.25 | -$73.46 | 48% 603-645 (1248) |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR | Renta Tokudaavg 4.1¢ | $677.52 | $344.87 | -$332.65 | 54% 1541-1296 (2837) |
TH thestingsnake | Rei Sakamotoavg 94¢ | $345.47 | $340.22 | +$13.75 | 14% 51-322 (373) |
 RN1 | Rei Sakamotoavg 97.9¢ | $295.58 | $294.74 | -$0.84 | 58% 3628-2593 (6221) |
MA MadridTime | Rei Sakamotoavg 88¢ | $228.31 | $252.14 | +$23.84 | 23% 176-586 (762) |
GA Gaditima | Rei Sakamotoavg 85¢ | $212.5 | $244.75 | +$32.25 | 51% 62-60 (122) |
SE sentrio<$100 | Rei Sakamotoavg 84¢ | $84.63 | $98.63 | +$14 | 27% 133-354 (487) |
OM omnibus-076daaARB<$100 | Renta Tokudaavg 15.1¢ | $290.35 | $73.59 | -$216.75 | 34% 147-291 (438) |
| └ Rei Sakamoto leg | Rei Sakamotoavg 86¢ | $33.29 | $37.9 | +$4.61 | |
| └ Renta Tokuda leg | Renta Tokudaavg 15.1¢ | $257.06 | $35.69 | -$221.36 | |
PA Pan9X<$100 | Rei Sakamotoavg 84.7¢ | $51.64 | $59.72 | +$8.08 | 47% 329-371 (700) |
 VeryLucky888<$100 | Rei Sakamotoavg 84.4¢ | $71.75 | $46.31 | +$6.6 | 47% 171-192 (363) |
BI BillBenter2026<$100 | Rei Sakamotoavg 95.6¢ | $14.34 | $14.69 | +$0.35 | 10% 50-444 (494) |
TH thirdt1meCTR<$100 | Renta Tokudaavg 7.2¢ | $43.5 | $12.6 | -$30.9 | 30% 46-106 (152) |
BA babybellsCTR<$100 | Renta Tokudaavg 7.7¢ | $22.92 | $11.17 | -$11.63 | 14% 55-348 (403) |
AM ameisgoat11<$100 | Rei Sakamotoavg 85¢ | $4.25 | $4.9 | +$0.65 | 20% 113-461 (574) |
UB ubetteruuuuCTR<$100 | Renta Tokudaavg 2.8¢ | $56.22 | $1 | -$55.22 | 7% 7-91 (98) |
Invested
$8,069.31
Value
$8.3K
PnL
+$268.35
Record
24%
184-596 (780)
Invested
$7,564.55
Value
$7.8K
PnL
+$226.02
Record
23%
174-599 (773)
Invested
$1,731.47
Value
$1.8K
PnL
+$102
Record
50%
1275-1295 (2570)
Invested
$842.7
Value
$921.65
PnL
+$78.95
Record
23%
176-590 (766)
Invested
$695.72
Value
$622.25
PnL
-$73.46
Record
48%
603-645 (1248)
Invested
$677.52
Value
$344.87
PnL
-$332.65
Record
54%
1541-1296 (2837)
Invested
$345.47
Value
$340.22
PnL
+$13.75
Record
14%
51-322 (373)
RN1Invested
$295.58
Value
$294.74
PnL
-$0.84
Record
58%
3628-2593 (6221)
Invested
$228.31
Value
$252.14
PnL
+$23.84
Record
23%
176-586 (762)
Invested
$212.5
Value
$244.75
PnL
+$32.25
Record
51%
62-60 (122)
Invested
$84.63
Value
$98.63
PnL
+$14
Record
27%
133-354 (487)
Invested
$290.35
Value
$73.59
PnL
-$216.75
Record
34%
147-291 (438)
Both legs:
Invested
$51.64
Value
$59.72
PnL
+$8.08
Record
47%
329-371 (700)
VeryLucky888<$100Invested
$71.75
Value
$46.31
PnL
+$6.6
Record
47%
171-192 (363)
Invested
$14.34
Value
$14.69
PnL
+$0.35
Record
10%
50-444 (494)
Invested
$43.5
Value
$12.6
PnL
-$30.9
Record
30%
46-106 (152)
Invested
$22.92
Value
$11.17
PnL
-$11.63
Record
14%
55-348 (403)
Invested
$4.25
Value
$4.9
PnL
+$0.65
Record
20%
113-461 (574)
Invested
$56.22
Value
$1
PnL
-$55.22
Record
7%
7-91 (98)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Venusian
Rei Sakamoto — $8.3K
Limousin
Rei Sakamoto — $7.8K
Flaznorp
Rei Sakamoto — $1.8K
LightParadox
Rei Sakamoto — $921.65
38791873984189
Rei Sakamoto — $622.25
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
CTRRenta Tokuda — $344.87
thestingsnake
Rei Sakamoto — $340.22
RN1
Rei Sakamoto — $294.74
MadridTime
Rei Sakamoto — $252.14
Gaditima
Rei Sakamoto — $244.75