Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Resolved Down. 90% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
10
Down 90%
$448.17
$146.73
Smart Money Signal
9 of 10 top traders (90%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 machinelearned | Downavg 58.4¢ | $94.27 | $131.79 | +$37.52 | 55% 8967-7399 (16366) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100 | Downavg 62¢ | $54.55 | $87.99 | +$33.44 | 60% 12586-8357 (20943) |
LI Little-big<$100 | Downavg 48.5¢ | $41.25 | $85 | +$43.75 | 35% 19121-36132 (55253) |
PL ply-pm0<$100 | Downavg 57.1¢ | $40.37 | $61 | +$20.63 | 50% 5585-5650 (11235) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5eCTR<$100 | Upavg 38¢ | $16.72 | — | -$16.72 | 55% 7793-6374 (14167) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Downavg 49.8¢ | $14.95 | $30 | +$15.05 | 56% 8353-6485 (14838) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 75¢ | $19 | $25.33 | +$6.33 | 66% 127109-65406 (192515) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 75.1¢ | $11.4 | $15.19 | +$3.79 | 55% 18379-14972 (33351) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 78.3¢ | $5.38 | $6.87 | +$1.49 | 58% 61090-44611 (105701) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 71¢ | $3.55 | $5 | +$1.45 | 56% 58635-45291 (103926) |
machinelearnedInvested
$94.27
Value
$131.79
PnL
+$37.52
Record
55%
8967-7399 (16366)
Invested
$54.55
Value
$87.99
PnL
+$33.44
Record
60%
12586-8357 (20943)
Invested
$41.25
Value
$85
PnL
+$43.75
Record
35%
19121-36132 (55253)
Invested
$40.37
Value
$61
PnL
+$20.63
Record
50%
5585-5650 (11235)
Invested
$16.72
Value
—
PnL
-$16.72
Record
55%
7793-6374 (14167)
Invested
$14.95
Value
$30
PnL
+$15.05
Record
56%
8353-6485 (14838)
Invested
$19
Value
$25.33
PnL
+$6.33
Record
66%
127109-65406 (192515)
Invested
$11.4
Value
$15.19
PnL
+$3.79
Record
55%
18379-14972 (33351)
Invested
$5.38
Value
$6.87
PnL
+$1.49
Record
58%
61090-44611 (105701)
Invested
$3.55
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.45
Record
56%
58635-45291 (103926)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
machinelearned
Down — $131.79
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Down — $87.99
Little-big
Down — $85
ply-pm0
Down — $61
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
CTRUp — $0
wzbbb
Down — $30
asdaefef
Down — $25.33
Kathod-Shi-14
Down — $15.19
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down — $6.87
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Down — $5