Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
Resolved Down. 53% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
17
Down 50%
$1.5K
-$368.88
Smart Money Signal
9 of 17 top traders (53%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 79¢ | $592.65 | $533.44 | -$59.21 | 56% 14924-11728 (26652) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 80.7¢ | $289.55 | $275 | -$14.55 | 64% 58907-33468 (92375) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e | Downavg 82.8¢ | $209.76 | $225.72 | +$15.96 | 55% 7793-6374 (14167) |
PL ply-pm0 | Downavg 70.6¢ | $187.21 | $212.03 | +$24.82 | 50% 5585-5650 (11235) |
WZ wzbbbCTR | Upavg 61.7¢ | $146.21 | — | -$146.21 | 56% 8353-6485 (14838) |
LI Little-bigCTR | Upavg 64.5¢ | $161.6 | — | -$161.6 | 35% 19121-36132 (55253) |
 machinelearned | Downavg 74.6¢ | $94.24 | $123.63 | +$29.39 | 55% 8967-7399 (16366) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 57.6¢ | $35.93 | $53.92 | +$18 | 64% 24882-13745 (38627) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 55.6¢ | $24.93 | $34.94 | +$10.01 | 65% 126454-67593 (194047) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 44¢ | $17.6 | — | -$17.6 | 64% 40639-23326 (63965) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $19.8 | $20 | +$0.2 | 66% 127109-65406 (192515) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 24.8¢ | $27.13 | — | -$27.13 | 55% 18379-14972 (33351) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-GlidingCTR<$100 | Upavg 37.4¢ | $22.8 | — | -$22.8 | 60% 12586-8357 (20943) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 6.1¢ | $13.12 | — | -$13.12 | 46% 38677-45770 (84447) |
HO hoodquantCTR<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $2.5 | — | -$2.5 | 93% 24319-1811 (26130) |
SI sir-upalotCTR<$100 | Upavg 33.8¢ | $2.54 | — | -$2.54 | 55% 24178-19509 (43687) |
AR arcsine-barrister<$100 | Down | — | — | +$0 | 56% 3698-2861 (6559) |
Invested
$592.65
Value
$533.44
PnL
-$59.21
Record
56%
14924-11728 (26652)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$289.55
Value
$275
PnL
-$14.55
Record
64%
58907-33468 (92375)
Invested
$209.76
Value
$225.72
PnL
+$15.96
Record
55%
7793-6374 (14167)
Invested
$187.21
Value
$212.03
PnL
+$24.82
Record
50%
5585-5650 (11235)
Invested
$146.21
Value
—
PnL
-$146.21
Record
56%
8353-6485 (14838)
Invested
$161.6
Value
—
PnL
-$161.6
Record
35%
19121-36132 (55253)
machinelearnedInvested
$94.24
Value
$123.63
PnL
+$29.39
Record
55%
8967-7399 (16366)
Invested
$35.93
Value
$53.92
PnL
+$18
Record
64%
24882-13745 (38627)
Invested
$24.93
Value
$34.94
PnL
+$10.01
Record
65%
126454-67593 (194047)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$17.6
Value
—
PnL
-$17.6
Record
64%
40639-23326 (63965)
Invested
$19.8
Value
$20
PnL
+$0.2
Record
66%
127109-65406 (192515)
Invested
$27.13
Value
—
PnL
-$27.13
Record
55%
18379-14972 (33351)
Invested
$22.8
Value
—
PnL
-$22.8
Record
60%
12586-8357 (20943)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$13.12
Value
—
PnL
-$13.12
Record
46%
38677-45770 (84447)
Invested
$2.5
Value
—
PnL
-$2.5
Record
93%
24319-1811 (26130)
Invested
$2.54
Value
—
PnL
-$2.54
Record
55%
24178-19509 (43687)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
3698-2861 (6559)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Traders in this Market
CrouchPredictions
Down — $533.44
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $275
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Down — $225.72
ply-pm0
Down — $212.03
wzbbb
CTRUp — $0
Little-big
CTRUp — $0
machinelearned
Down — $123.63
aaa221
Down — $53.92
drfc4eybh7i8
Down — $34.94
ohioism
CTRUp — $0