Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
Resolved Up. 73% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
22
Up 70%
$3.3K
$81.54
Smart Money Signal
16 of 22 top traders (73%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CR CrouchPredictions | Upavg 73.9¢ | $1.4K | $1.6K | +$189.72 | 56% 14924-11728 (26652) |
PL ply-pm0 | Upavg 81.5¢ | $516.7 | $478.7 | -$38 | 50% 5585-5650 (11235) |
 machinelearned | Upavg 74.9¢ | $356.36 | $381.68 | +$25.31 | 55% 8967-7399 (16366) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e | Upavg 85.8¢ | $245.85 | $261 | +$15.15 | 55% 7793-6374 (14167) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025 | Upavg 79.7¢ | $138 | $150.56 | +$12.56 | 58% 61090-44611 (105701) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Upavg 63.2¢ | $73.61 | $97.8 | +$24.19 | 46% 38677-45770 (84447) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Upavg 65.2¢ | $112.19 | $98.56 | -$13.63 | 60% 12586-8357 (20943) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 78¢ | $78.16 | $80.66 | +$2.5 | 64% 40639-23326 (63965) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 72¢ | $43.17 | $59.99 | +$16.82 | 64% 24882-13745 (38627) |
 Atomforge<$100 | Upavg 95.6¢ | $34.3 | $35.89 | +$1.59 | 65% 4332-2383 (6715) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 95.6¢ | $26.47 | $27.69 | +$1.22 | 65% 126454-67593 (194047) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 73¢ | $20.75 | $15.68 | -$5.07 | 55% 18379-14972 (33351) |
WZ wzbbbCTR<$100 | Downavg 40.5¢ | $61.19 | — | -$61.19 | 56% 8353-6485 (14838) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Downavg 46.6¢ | $54.84 | — | -$54.84 | 58% 51349-37471 (88820) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 91¢ | $4.55 | $5 | +$0.45 | 66% 127109-65406 (192515) |
SI sir-upalot<$100 | Upavg 80¢ | $2.84 | $3.55 | +$0.71 | 55% 24178-19509 (43687) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 2¢ | $1.02 | — | -$1.02 | 56% 58635-45291 (103926) |
LI Little-bigCTR<$100 | Downavg 38¢ | $6.13 | — | -$6.13 | 35% 19121-36132 (55253) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 20.4¢ | $7.57 | — | -$7.57 | 62% 44284-27268 (71552) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 15.8¢ | $21.23 | — | -$21.23 | 65% 112572-59423 (171995) |
AR arcsine-barrister<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 56% 3698-2861 (6559) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 51% 20375-19462 (39837) |
Invested
$1,388.1
Value
$1.6K
PnL
+$189.72
Record
56%
14924-11728 (26652)
Invested
$516.7
Value
$478.7
PnL
-$38
Record
50%
5585-5650 (11235)
machinelearnedInvested
$356.36
Value
$381.68
PnL
+$25.31
Record
55%
8967-7399 (16366)
Invested
$245.85
Value
$261
PnL
+$15.15
Record
55%
7793-6374 (14167)
Invested
$138
Value
$150.56
PnL
+$12.56
Record
58%
61090-44611 (105701)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$73.61
Value
$97.8
PnL
+$24.19
Record
46%
38677-45770 (84447)
Invested
$112.19
Value
$98.56
PnL
-$13.63
Record
60%
12586-8357 (20943)
ohioism<$100Invested
$78.16
Value
$80.66
PnL
+$2.5
Record
64%
40639-23326 (63965)
Invested
$43.17
Value
$59.99
PnL
+$16.82
Record
64%
24882-13745 (38627)
Atomforge<$100Invested
$34.3
Value
$35.89
PnL
+$1.59
Record
65%
4332-2383 (6715)
Invested
$26.47
Value
$27.69
PnL
+$1.22
Record
65%
126454-67593 (194047)
Invested
$20.75
Value
$15.68
PnL
-$5.07
Record
55%
18379-14972 (33351)
Invested
$61.19
Value
—
PnL
-$61.19
Record
56%
8353-6485 (14838)
Invested
$54.84
Value
—
PnL
-$54.84
Record
58%
51349-37471 (88820)
Invested
$4.55
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.45
Record
66%
127109-65406 (192515)
Invested
$2.84
Value
$3.55
PnL
+$0.71
Record
55%
24178-19509 (43687)
Invested
$1.02
Value
—
PnL
-$1.02
Record
56%
58635-45291 (103926)
Invested
$6.13
Value
—
PnL
-$6.13
Record
35%
19121-36132 (55253)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$7.57
Value
—
PnL
-$7.57
Record
62%
44284-27268 (71552)
Invested
$21.23
Value
—
PnL
-$21.23
Record
65%
112572-59423 (171995)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
3698-2861 (6559)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
20375-19462 (39837)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
CrouchPredictions
Up — $1.6K
ply-pm0
Up — $478.7
machinelearned
Up — $381.68
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Up — $261
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Up — $150.56
pspspsps5
Up — $97.8
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Up — $98.56
ohioism
Up — $80.66
aaa221
Up — $59.99
Atomforge
Up — $35.89