LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Gromp Esports (BO5) - LCP Promotion Playoffs

15 of 21 top Polymarket traders hold Saigon Warriors (71%) · Saigon Warriors at 100¢ · $25K held · ends Nov 10

Saigon Warriors>99¢Gromp Esports<1¢Ends Tue, Nov 10, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Saigon Warriors

Consensus Traders

Saigon Warriors 71%

Total Value

$25.4K

Combined PnL

$314.62

Smart Money Entry

95.1¢ → 100¢

+5% since entry · 15 traders

Research grade

NeutralSaigon Warriors at 100%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Saigon Warriors

15 of 21 top traders (71%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Saigon Warriors100%

Gromp Esports0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Saigon Warriors15 traders

Total Value$25.3K

Total Shares25,325

Combined PnL+$1.1K

Gromp Esports6 traders

Total Value$80.92

Total Shares11,560

Combined PnL-$775.53

Saigon Warriors — 71%Gromp Esports — 29%

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

15 traders

Top 2 hold 64%

Freshness

Fresh

8h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationBalanced

71% of non-arb traders are on Saigon Warriors. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 64% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

sniperSaigon Warriors 100% · 1

Aligned

ctrSaigon Warriors 63% · 8

Aligned

Top 1000Saigon Warriors 71% · 21

Aligned

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
FA FailedMission	Saigon Warriorsavg 92.7¢	$9.7K	$10.5K	+$757.61	— 4-2 (6)
arjennnnn	Saigon Warriorsavg 99.8¢	$5.7K	$5.8K	+$6.13	68% 516-238 (754)
PN pnhct	Saigon Warriorsavg 96.1¢	$2.8K	$2.8K	+$19.57	— 3-1 (4)
JU JuiceFarm	Saigon Warriorsavg 92¢	$1.8K	$2.0K	+$157.69	— 4-1 (5)
AM ameisgoat11	Saigon Warriorsavg 96¢	$1.2K	$1.3K	+$42.95	23% 142-486 (628)
OM omnibus-076daa	Saigon Warriorsavg 98.4¢	$915.12	$928.93	+$13.81	34% 164-316 (480)
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2	Saigon Warriorsavg 95.8¢	$628.88	$617.95	-$10.93	56% 3777-2945 (6722)
XT xtxpleasecallme	Saigon Warriorsavg 89.8¢	$482.95	$537.28	+$54.34	41% 3005-4412 (7417)
0X 0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080	Saigon Warriorsavg 93¢	$372	$399.54	+$27.54	8% 71-770 (841)
PA pagliacci4	Saigon Warriorsavg 98.5¢	$206.85	$209.76	+$2.91	18% 7-32 (39)
CA calculate10	Saigon Warriorsavg 96¢	$564.08	$150.56	+$16.62	16% 14-71 (85)
38 38791873984189<$100	Saigon Warriorsavg 91.8¢	$74.74	$61.42	-$1.69	48% 752-814 (1566)
PA Pan9X<$100	Saigon Warriorsavg 91.7¢	$46.84	$50.08	+$3.29	48% 407-443 (850)
nigiri99CTR	Gromp Esportsavg 7.1¢	$452.02	$44.3	-$407.72	52% 122-112 (234)
GR gregbeastCTR	Gromp Esportsavg 8¢	$239.94	$21	-$218.94	0% 0-99 (99)
PA pauleta23<$100	Saigon Warriorsavg 98.3¢	$10	$10.16	+$0.16	20% 100-409 (509)
GT gt7238CTR<$100	Gromp Esportsavg 7¢	$78.49	$7.85	-$70.64	2% 9-438 (447)
SE sentrio<$100	Saigon Warriorsavg 96.8¢	$4.95	$5.1	+$0.16	29% 157-376 (533)
CI cigarettesCTR<$100	Gromp Esportsavg 7.4¢	$39.87	$3.78	-$36.09	52% 5313-4817 (10130)
alpheclabs2CTR<$100	Gromp Esportsavg 8.7¢	$41.63	$3.36	-$38.27	48% 66-71 (137)
TKKnoallinCTR<$100	Gromp Esportsavg 5¢	$4.49	$0.63	-$3.86	0% 0-38 (38)

FailedMission

Saigon Warriors

Invested

$9,726.95

Value

$10.5K

PnL

+$757.61

Record

—

4-2 (6)

arjennnnn

Saigon Warriors

Invested

$5,748.72

Value

$5.8K

PnL

+$6.13

Record

68%

516-238 (754)

pnhct

Saigon Warriors

Invested

$2,828.64

Value

$2.8K

PnL

+$19.57

Record

—

3-1 (4)

JuiceFarm

Saigon Warriors

Invested

$1,839.99

Value

$2.0K

PnL

+$157.69

Record

—

4-1 (5)

ameisgoat11

Saigon Warriors

Invested

$1,229.86

Value

$1.3K

PnL

+$42.95

Record

23%

142-486 (628)

omnibus-076daa

Saigon Warriors

Invested

$915.12

Value

$928.93

PnL

+$13.81

Record

34%

164-316 (480)

0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2

Saigon Warriors

Invested

$628.88

Value

$617.95

PnL

-$10.93

Record

56%

3777-2945 (6722)

xtxpleasecallme

Saigon Warriors

Invested

$482.95

Value

$537.28

PnL

+$54.34

Record

41%

3005-4412 (7417)

0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080

Saigon Warriors

Invested

$372

Value

$399.54

PnL

+$27.54

Record

71-770 (841)

pagliacci4

Saigon Warriors

Invested

$206.85

Value

$209.76

PnL

+$2.91

Record

18%

7-32 (39)

calculate10

Saigon Warriors

Invested

$564.08

Value

$150.56

PnL

+$16.62

Record

16%

14-71 (85)

38791873984189<$100

Saigon Warriors

Invested

$74.74

Value

$61.42

PnL

-$1.69

Record

48%

752-814 (1566)

Pan9X<$100

Saigon Warriors

Invested

$46.84

Value

$50.08

PnL

+$3.29

Record

48%

407-443 (850)

nigiri99CTR

Gromp Esports

Invested

$452.02

Value

$44.3

PnL

-$407.72

Record

52%

122-112 (234)

gregbeastCTR

Gromp Esports

Invested

$239.94

Value

$21

PnL

-$218.94

Record

0-99 (99)

pauleta23<$100

Saigon Warriors

Invested

$10

Value

$10.16

PnL

+$0.16

Record

20%

100-409 (509)

gt7238CTR<$100

Gromp Esports

Invested

$78.49

Value

$7.85

PnL

-$70.64

Record

9-438 (447)

sentrio<$100

Saigon Warriors

Invested

$4.95

Value

$5.1

PnL

+$0.16

Record

29%

157-376 (533)

cigarettesCTR<$100

Gromp Esports

Invested

$39.87

Value

$3.78

PnL

-$36.09

Record

52%

5313-4817 (10130)

alpheclabs2CTR<$100

Gromp Esports

Invested

$41.63

Value

$3.36

PnL

-$38.27

Record

48%

66-71 (137)

TKKnoallinCTR<$100

Gromp Esports

Invested

$4.49

Value

$0.63

PnL

-$3.86

Record

0-38 (38)

Research grade

NeutralSaigon Warriors at 100%

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.

Smart Money Signal

Saigon Warriors

15 of 21 top traders (71%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

15 traders

Top 2 hold 64%

Freshness

Fresh

8h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationBalanced

71% of non-arb traders are on Saigon Warriors. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 64% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

sniperSaigon Warriors 100% · 1

Aligned

ctrSaigon Warriors 63% · 8

Aligned

Top 1000Saigon Warriors 71% · 21

Aligned

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Saigon Warriors wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance99.9%

100.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$0.10

Max Loss

-$100.00

100.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.