LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Gromp Esports - Game 3 Winner

11 of 16 top Polymarket traders hold Saigon Warriors (69%) · Saigon Warriors at 100¢ · $17K held · ends Nov 10

Saigon Warriors>99¢Gromp Esports<1¢Ends Tue, Nov 10, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Saigon Warriors

Consensus Traders

Saigon Warriors 69%

Total Value

$16.7K

Combined PnL

-$274.22

Smart Money Entry

91.8¢ → 100¢

+9% since entry · 11 traders

Research grade

NeutralSaigon Warriors at 100%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Saigon Warriors

11 of 16 top traders (69%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Saigon Warriors100%

Gromp Esports0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Saigon Warriors11 traders

Total Value$16.5K

Total Shares16,676

Combined PnL+$1.1K

Gromp Esports5 traders

Total Value$167.65

Total Shares11,864

Combined PnL$-1.3K

Saigon Warriors — 69%Gromp Esports — 31%

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Surging

+15 pts consensus

Breadth

11 traders

Top 2 hold 82%

Freshness

Fresh

1h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

69% of non-arb traders are on Saigon Warriors. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 82% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

sharpSaigon Warriors 100% · 1

Aligned

sniperSaigon Warriors 75% · 4

Aligned

ctrGromp Esports 100% · 3

Diverging

Top 1000Saigon Warriors 69% · 16

Aligned

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
WA wangyou1288	Saigon Warriorsavg 90.7¢	$11.2K	$12.2K	+$1.0K	—
Malfunction.	Saigon Warriorsavg 97.7¢	$1.4K	$1.4K	+$18.61	99% 71-1 (72)
TE testBruno2	Saigon Warriorsavg 93.3¢	$1.6K	$1.1K	+$43.74	13% 4-28 (32)
arjennnnn	Saigon Warriorsavg 95¢	$663.15	$691.07	+$27.92	68% 516-238 (754)
PN pnhct	Saigon Warriorsavg 96.6¢	$737.65	$657.63	-$80.03	— 3-1 (4)
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2	Saigon Warriorsavg 91¢	$157.51	$153.95	-$3.57	56% 3777-2944 (6721)
FA FailedMission	Saigon Warriorsavg 83¢	$122.11	$145.65	+$23.54	— 4-2 (6)
ZT ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG	Saigon Warriorsavg 88¢	$100	$112.5	+$12.5	10% 39-369 (408)
GT gt7238CTR	Gromp Esportsavg 12.4¢	$1.2K	$95.7	$-1.1K	2% 9-438 (447)
BR brobrobrobrobroCTR<$100	Gromp Esportsavg 10.7¢	$98.5	$53.95	-$44.54	7% 2-26 (28)
CA calculate10<$100	Saigon Warriorsavg 98¢	$29.4	$29.7	+$0.3	16% 14-71 (85)
31 319113331313111<$100	Saigon Warriorsavg 90¢	$18	$19.8	+$1.8	35% 27-51 (78)
0X 0xffAaEFb5f6762Cc70cb575Da8722E8C895E38cEe-1767374935341CTR	Gromp Esportsavg 12.6¢	$224.34	$17.87	-$206.47	5% 10-175 (185)
PA pauleta23<$100	Saigon Warriorsavg 90¢	$10	$11	+$1	20% 100-408 (508)
AM ameisgoat11CTR<$100	Gromp Esportsavg 16¢	$1.6	$0.1	-$1.5	22% 141-486 (627)
GH ghorrockCTR<$100	Gromp Esportsavg 14¢	$0.29	$0.02	-$0.27	51% 256-245 (501)

wangyou1288

Saigon Warriors

Invested

$11,172.11

Value

$12.2K

PnL

+$1.0K

Record

—

Malfunction.

Saigon Warriors

Invested

$1,384.76

Value

$1.4K

PnL

+$18.61

Record

99%

71-1 (72)

testBruno2

Saigon Warriors

Invested

$1,563.01

Value

$1.1K

PnL

+$43.74

Record

13%

4-28 (32)

arjennnnn

Saigon Warriors

Invested

$663.15

Value

$691.07

PnL

+$27.92

Record

68%

516-238 (754)

pnhct

Saigon Warriors

Invested

$737.65

Value

$657.63

PnL

-$80.03

Record

—

3-1 (4)

0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2

Saigon Warriors

Invested

$157.51

Value

$153.95

PnL

-$3.57

Record

56%

3777-2944 (6721)

FailedMission

Saigon Warriors

Invested

$122.11

Value

$145.65

PnL

+$23.54

Record

—

4-2 (6)

ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG

Saigon Warriors

Invested

$100

Value

$112.5

PnL

+$12.5

Record

10%

39-369 (408)

gt7238CTR

Gromp Esports

Invested

$1,183.9

Value

$95.7

PnL

$-1.1K

Record

9-438 (447)

brobrobrobrobroCTR<$100

Gromp Esports

Invested

$98.5

Value

$53.95

PnL

-$44.54

Record

2-26 (28)

calculate10<$100

Saigon Warriors

Invested

$29.4

Value

$29.7

PnL

+$0.3

Record

16%

14-71 (85)

319113331313111<$100

Saigon Warriors

Invested

$18

Value

$19.8

PnL

+$1.8

Record

35%

27-51 (78)

0xffAaEFb5f6762Cc70cb575Da8722E8C895E38cEe-1767374935341CTR

Gromp Esports

Invested

$224.34

Value

$17.87

PnL

-$206.47

Record

10-175 (185)

pauleta23<$100

Saigon Warriors

Invested

$10

Value

$11

PnL

+$1

Record

20%

100-408 (508)

ameisgoat11CTR<$100

Gromp Esports

Invested

$1.6

Value

$0.1

PnL

-$1.5

Record

22%

141-486 (627)

ghorrockCTR<$100

Gromp Esports

Invested

$0.29

Value

$0.02

PnL

-$0.27

Record

51%

256-245 (501)

Research grade

NeutralSaigon Warriors at 100%

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.

Smart Money Signal

Saigon Warriors

11 of 16 top traders (69%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Surging

+15 pts consensus

Breadth

11 traders

Top 2 hold 82%

Freshness

Fresh

1h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

69% of non-arb traders are on Saigon Warriors. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 82% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

sharpSaigon Warriors 100% · 1

Aligned

sniperSaigon Warriors 75% · 4

Aligned

ctrGromp Esports 100% · 3

Diverging

Top 1000Saigon Warriors 69% · 16

Aligned

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Saigon Warriors wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance99.9%

100.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$0.10

Max Loss

-$100.00

100.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.