Sports: what top Polymarket traders hold
Every sport in one list: leagues, matches, spreads, totals and futures. These are the Sports markets on Polymarket in which at least five of the top traders we track hold a position, with the side most of them hold (the consensus), what share of them hold it and the market's own price for that side.
A consensus is a head count of who holds what, not a probability, and following it did not pay on average in our backtests — see how it works.
- Live consensus markets
- 526
- Recently settled, consensus right
- 931 of 1534
- Prices as of
- Nov 1, 14:41 UTC
Live Sports consensus markets (526)
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerTraders hold Team Spirit 34%21 of 73 tradersMarket price 47¢$357K heldEsportsagainst the market price
- Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-01?Traders hold No 61%22 of 43 tradersMarket price 43¢$286K heldSocceragainst the market price
- Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-11-01?Traders hold No 66%19 of 33 tradersMarket price 98¢$82K heldSoccer
- Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?Traders hold No 76%22 of 32 tradersMarket price 54¢$429K heldSoccer
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) - PARI Universe PlayoffsTraders hold Team Yandex 50%15 of 32 tradersMarket price 45¢$105K heldEsportsagainst the market price
- Getafe CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5Traders hold Over 50%14 of 32 tradersMarket price 100¢$44K heldSoccer
- SS Lazio vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5Traders hold Over 52%14 of 32 tradersMarket price 85¢$36K heldSoccer
- Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-11-01?Traders hold No 68%17 of 28 tradersMarket price 87¢$108K heldSoccer
- Will Getafe CF win on 2026-11-01?Traders hold No 65%11 of 26 tradersMarket price 23¢$41K heldSocceragainst the market price
- Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5Traders hold Over 32%7 of 25 tradersMarket price 55¢$359K heldSoccer
- Celtics vs. MagicTraders hold Celtics 43%10 of 25 tradersMarket price 71¢$26K heldNBA
- Frosinone Calcio vs. Torino FC: O/U 3.5Traders hold Over 4%1 of 24 tradersMarket price 20¢$157K heldSocceragainst the market price
- Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-11-01?Traders hold Yes 21%5 of 24 tradersMarket price 13¢$75K heldSocceragainst the market price
- Spread: SS Lazio (-1.5)Traders hold Cagliari Calcio 64%14 of 24 tradersMarket price 75¢$73K heldSoccer
- Will Getafe CF vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?Traders hold No 70%14 of 23 tradersMarket price 80¢$32K heldSoccer
- Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-11-01?Traders hold Yes 37%7 of 23 tradersMarket price 69¢$21K heldSoccer
- Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Traders hold Yes 81%17 of 21 tradersMarket price 100¢$304K heldF1
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs 1WIN (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games PlayoffsTraders hold HOTU 39%7 of 21 tradersMarket price 17¢$95K heldEsportsagainst the market price
- Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Traders hold No 71%15 of 21 tradersMarket price 96¢$50K heldSoccer
- Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-01?Traders hold No 50%7 of 21 tradersMarket price 60¢$42K heldSoccer
- Clippers vs. WarriorsTraders hold Clippers 44%7 of 21 tradersMarket price 47¢$35K heldNBAagainst the market price
- Will Celtic FC win on 2026-11-01?Traders hold No 85%17 of 21 tradersMarket price 100¢$31K heldSoccer
- Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?Traders hold Yes 60%12 of 20 tradersMarket price 47¢$265K heldEsportsagainst the market price
- Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?Traders hold No 37%7 of 20 tradersMarket price 69¢$104K heldSoccer
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5Traders hold Under 58%11 of 20 tradersMarket price 61¢$63K heldSoccer
- Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Nuno Borges vs Alex MolcanTraders hold Nuno Borges 65%11 of 20 tradersMarket price 53¢$24K heldTennis
- 1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5Traders hold Over 63%10 of 19 tradersMarket price 75¢$69K heldSoccer
- SS Lazio vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 1.5Traders hold Over 33%6 of 19 tradersMarket price 100¢$55K heldSoccer
- Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?Traders hold No 47%9 of 19 tradersMarket price 94¢$43K heldNFL
- Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-11-01?Traders hold No 71%10 of 19 tradersMarket price 89¢$41K heldSoccer
- Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-11-01?Traders hold Yes 58%11 of 19 tradersMarket price 99¢$16K heldSoccer
- Getafe CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5Traders hold Under 65%11 of 19 tradersMarket price 0.1¢$12K heldSocceragainst the market price
- Will Hammarby IF win on 2026-11-01?Traders hold No 71%12 of 19 tradersMarket price 10¢$7K heldSocceragainst the market price
- Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Traders hold Yes 94%17 of 18 tradersMarket price 65¢$498K heldSoccer
- Trabzonspor vs. Gaziantep FK: O/U 3.5Traders hold Over 28%5 of 18 tradersMarket price 9.0¢$95K heldSocceragainst the market price
- Raptors vs. LakersTraders hold Lakers 60%9 of 18 tradersMarket price 57¢$42K heldNBA
- Will Falkirk FC win on 2026-11-01?Traders hold Yes 57%8 of 18 tradersMarket price 95¢$20K heldSoccer
- Spread: Bills (-3.5)Traders hold Ravens 53%9 of 17 tradersMarket price 54¢$47K heldNFL
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)Traders hold Real Madrid CF 50%8 of 17 tradersMarket price 41¢$38K heldSocceragainst the market price
- Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?Traders hold Yes 88%15 of 17 tradersMarket price 7.8¢$23K heldEsportsagainst the market price
- Frosinone Calcio vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5Traders hold Over 47%8 of 17 tradersMarket price 41¢$13K heldSocceragainst the market price
- Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026?Traders hold No 88%15 of 17 tradersMarket price 98¢$12K heldEsports
- Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Lorenzo SonegoTraders hold Lorenzo Sonego 87%13 of 16 tradersMarket price 67¢$86K heldTennis
- Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-01?Traders hold Yes 44%7 of 16 tradersMarket price 82¢$46K heldSoccer
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 2.5Traders hold Over 64%9 of 16 tradersMarket price 49¢$10K heldSocceragainst the market price
- Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?Traders hold Yes 88%14 of 16 tradersMarket price 2.6¢$10K heldNFLagainst the market price
- Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Traders hold No 60%9 of 15 tradersMarket price 89¢$593K heldSoccer
- Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Traders hold No 7%1 of 15 tradersMarket price 84¢$176K heldSoccer
- Will Athletic Club win on 2026-11-01?Traders hold Yes 20%3 of 15 tradersMarket price 50¢$133K heldSocceragainst the market price
- Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5Traders hold Under 70%7 of 15 tradersMarket price 51¢$56K heldSoccer
- Nets vs. PacersTraders hold Pacers 54%7 of 15 tradersMarket price 62¢$34K heldNBA
- Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?Traders hold No 20%3 of 15 tradersMarket price 86¢$24K heldNFL
- Will Torino FC win on 2026-11-01?Traders hold No 64%7 of 15 tradersMarket price 71¢$16K heldSoccer
- Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-11-01?Traders hold Yes 38%5 of 15 tradersMarket price 19¢$16K heldSocceragainst the market price
- Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?Traders hold Yes 73%11 of 15 tradersMarket price 7.5¢$14K heldNFLagainst the market price
- Will Granada CF win on 2026-11-01?Traders hold No 33%5 of 15 tradersMarket price 30¢$3K heldSocceragainst the market price
- Falcons vs. BuccaneersTraders hold Falcons 57%8 of 14 tradersMarket price 45¢$62K heldNFLagainst the market price
- Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Traders hold No 29%4 of 14 tradersMarket price 88¢$49K heldSoccer
- Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?Traders hold Yes 100%13 of 14 tradersMarket price 13¢$46K heldNBAagainst the market price
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group ATraders hold Heroic 57%8 of 14 tradersMarket price 63¢$40K heldEsports
- Will SS Lazio vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw?Traders hold No 67%8 of 14 tradersMarket price 72¢$13K heldSoccer
- Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?Traders hold Yes 86%12 of 14 tradersMarket price 3.6¢$8K heldNFLagainst the market price
- Will Molde FK win on 2026-11-01?Traders hold No 77%10 of 14 tradersMarket price 62¢$6K heldSoccer
- Will Rams Başakşehir FK win on 2026-11-01?Traders hold Yes 71%10 of 14 tradersMarket price 99¢$5K heldSoccer
- Spread: Commanders (-5.5)Traders hold Eagles 77%10 of 13 tradersMarket price 47¢$73K heldNFLagainst the market price
- Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?Traders hold Yes 54%7 of 13 tradersMarket price 76¢$57K heldEsports
- Spread: Molde FK (-1.5)Traders hold SK Brann 42%5 of 13 tradersMarket price 85¢$34K heldSoccer
- Will T1 win Worlds 2026?Traders hold No 38%5 of 13 tradersMarket price 78¢$33K heldEsports
- Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?Traders hold Yes 85%11 of 13 tradersMarket price 15¢$23K heldEsportsagainst the market price
- Spread: Djurgardens IF (-1.5)Traders hold Degerfors IF 27%3 of 13 tradersMarket price 79¢$19K heldSoccer
- Raptors vs. Lakers: O/U 227.5Traders hold Over 83%10 of 13 tradersMarket price 47¢$8K heldNBAagainst the market price
- SS Lazio vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 3.5Traders hold Under 55%6 of 13 tradersMarket price 46¢$7K heldSocceragainst the market price
- Trabzonspor vs. Gaziantep FK: O/U 2.5Traders hold Over 55%6 of 13 tradersMarket price 42¢$5K heldSocceragainst the market price
- Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Traders hold Yes 85%11 of 13 tradersMarket price 0.1¢$4K heldF1against the market price
- Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship?Traders hold Yes 85%11 of 13 tradersMarket price 1.8¢$3K heldNFLagainst the market price
- SS Lazio vs. Cagliari Calcio: Both Teams to ScoreTraders hold No 67%8 of 13 tradersMarket price 0.1¢$2K heldSocceragainst the market price
- Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Traders hold Yes 85%11 of 13 tradersMarket price 0.1¢$1K heldF1against the market price
- Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Traders hold Yes 67%8 of 12 tradersMarket price 72¢$97K heldSoccer
- Browns vs. SteelersTraders hold Steelers 64%7 of 12 tradersMarket price 65¢$51K heldNFL
- Spread: Trabzonspor (-1.5)Traders hold Trabzonspor 36%4 of 12 tradersMarket price 88¢$51K heldSoccer
- Swiss Indoors Basel: Jiri Lehecka vs Valentin VacherotTraders hold Valentin Vacherot 60%6 of 12 tradersMarket price 39¢$44K heldTennisagainst the market price
- Malmo FF vs. Hammarby IF: O/U 3.5Traders hold Under 27%3 of 12 tradersMarket price 48¢$38K heldSocceragainst the market price
- Will CD La Serena win on 2026-11-01?Traders hold No 83%10 of 12 tradersMarket price 61¢$38K heldSoccer
- Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Traders hold Yes 92%11 of 12 tradersMarket price 13¢$33K heldSocceragainst the market price
- Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?Traders hold Yes 67%8 of 12 tradersMarket price 12¢$28K heldNFLagainst the market price
- Patriots vs. Dolphins: O/U 42.5Traders hold Over 82%9 of 12 tradersMarket price 47¢$26K heldNFLagainst the market price
- Paris FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5Traders hold Under 20%2 of 12 tradersMarket price 47¢$25K heldSocceragainst the market price
- Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-11-01?Traders hold No 75%9 of 12 tradersMarket price 55¢$16K heldSoccer
- Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship?Traders hold Yes 83%10 of 12 tradersMarket price 4.9¢$9K heldNFLagainst the market price
- Malmo FF vs. Hammarby IF: O/U 2.5Traders hold Over 60%6 of 12 tradersMarket price 100¢$8K heldSoccer
- Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?Traders hold Yes 75%9 of 12 tradersMarket price 4.9¢$8K heldNFLagainst the market price
- Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship?Traders hold Yes 83%10 of 12 tradersMarket price 3.6¢$6K heldNFLagainst the market price
- Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?Traders hold Yes 42%5 of 12 tradersMarket price 24¢$5K heldEsportsagainst the market price
- Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship?Traders hold Yes 83%10 of 12 tradersMarket price 4.5¢$5K heldNFLagainst the market price
- Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Traders hold Yes 50%6 of 12 tradersMarket price 100¢$4K heldF1
- Will Young Boys Bern win on 2026-11-01?Traders hold Yes 58%7 of 12 tradersMarket price 30¢$3K heldSocceragainst the market price
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5Traders hold Over 82%9 of 12 tradersMarket price 70¢$2K heldSoccer
- Curitiba: Alice Tubello vs Julia GrabherTraders hold Alice Tubello 83%10 of 12 tradersMarket price 54¢$1K heldTennis
- Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship?Traders hold Yes 75%9 of 12 tradersMarket price 1.1¢$1K heldNFLagainst the market price
- Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Traders hold Yes 73%8 of 11 tradersMarket price 23¢$91K heldSocceragainst the market price
Showing the 100 markets with the most traders of 526; the markets page has them all.
Top traders in Sports
Tracked traders with 10 or more settled Sports consensus markets whose side won more often than its entry price implied, ranked by how much (on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short lucky run does not rank first). These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero.
- 1.0xcba9371dcbbd7a48b477f04274376e1feea9f812+64 ptsside won 100% of 126 · avg entry 36¢ · ROI +63%
- 2.Scotty155+66 ptsside won 90% of 70 · avg entry 24¢ · ROI +67%
- 3.gregbeast+58 ptsside won 98% of 184 · avg entry 40¢ · ROI +50%
- 4.claudesports+60 ptsside won 93% of 149 · avg entry 33¢ · ROI +47%
- 5.Skritopoolniy+55 ptsside won 99% of 540 · avg entry 45¢ · ROI +53%
- 6.JohnnyWins+56 ptsside won 100% of 123 · avg entry 44¢ · ROI +57%
- 7.CyberScore.live+54 ptsside won 99% of 402 · avg entry 45¢ · ROI +54%
- 8.hi774c+51 ptsside won 100% of 3509 · avg entry 48¢ · ROI +48%
- 9.CORGII+53 ptsside won 98% of 399 · avg entry 46¢ · ROI +55%
- 10.SunflowaRebuildYear+52 ptsside won 100% of 281 · avg entry 48¢ · ROI +54%
Recently settled Sports markets
What the tracked traders held when each market settled, and how it came out. A handful of markets says little about the next one.
- KHL: Admiral Vladivostok vs. Amur KhabarovskResult: Amur KhabarovskTraders held Amur Khabarovsk 67%consensus was right
- Taranto: Sebastian Gima vs Ryan PenistonResult: Ryan PenistonTraders held Sebastian Gima 50%consensus was wrong
- Amed Sportif vs. Eyüpspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5Result: OverTraders held Over 100%consensus was right
- Chennai Open, Qualification: Mei Yamaguchi vs Zhibek KulambayevaResult: Zhibek KulambayevaTraders held Mei Yamaguchi 67%consensus was wrong
- Amed Sportif vs. Eyüpspor: O/U 2.5Result: OverTraders held Under 100%consensus was wrong
- Will Sivasspor vs. Boluspor end in a draw?Result: NoTraders held No 50%consensus was right
- Amed Sportif vs. Eyüpspor: O/U 1.5Result: OverTraders held Over 67%consensus was right
- Amed Sportif vs. Eyüpspor: Both Teams to ScoreResult: Yes
- Will Eyüpspor win on 2026-11-01?Result: NoTraders held No 33%consensus was right
- Will Amed Sportif vs. Eyüpspor end in a draw?Result: NoTraders held Yes 20%consensus was wrong
- Will Amed Sportif win on 2026-11-01?Result: YesTraders held Yes 64%consensus was right
- Spread: Amed Sportif (-4.5)Result: EyüpsporTraders held Eyüpspor 100%consensus was right
Holders update as the tracked traders trade, and prices refresh about once a minute. Only wallets with a position of at least 1 share count as holders; the side is the one with the most money behind it among holders with $100 or more in the market. PolyConsensus is not affiliated with Polymarket and this is not investment advice. More: all topics, the trader leaderboard, large trades.