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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo000x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465GingerMcKennaRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market58% (4512–3287, n=7799)30% (1491–3544, n=5035)47% (13877–15390, n=29267)
Consensus PnL—$7.8M$34K$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #69was PM monthly #404PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position70% (14 of 20 open)59% (334 of 569 open)50% (14 of 28 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
Weakest topic—NHL −1 pts, n=134Tech −3 pts, n=329—
Settled positions, side won—59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%38% of 2743 at avg 38¢, ROI −2%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—17% (won 11% of 1183)59% (won 2% of 1618)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢—24% (won 45% of 1724)4% (won 28% of 100)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢—29% (won 66% of 2055)4% (won 75% of 106)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up—30% (won 91% of 2092)34% (won 98% of 919)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo000x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465GingerMcKennaRN1
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $160KYes $19—
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5KYes $8—
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $945No $273—
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $130No $694—
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $56Yes $6—
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $259—
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
same side · consensus Quentin Halys
—Quentin Halys $13K—Quentin Halys $1.3K
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $13KNo $147—