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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo000x53757615de1c42b83f893b79d4241a009dc2aeeaBreakTheBankbeachboy4
Record (consensus markets)75% (6–2, n=8)41% (1101–1610, n=2711)45% (542–652, n=1194)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL$3.5M$2.9M$10.6M$5.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #19PM monthly #410PM monthly #1was PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position57% (33 of 58 open)90% (146 of 163 open)100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • MMA +12 pts n=46, ROI +8%
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic—College Basketball −9 pts, n=137—NBA −6 pts, n=93
Settled positions, side won86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%40% of 3652 at avg 41¢, ROI −3%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢0%34% (won 6% of 1254)10% (won 82% of 56)3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢0%25% (won 36% of 922)36% (won 98% of 198)30% (won 57% of 63)
Entries 50–70¢100% (won 86% of 7)29% (won 64% of 1045)35% (won 99% of 191)54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up0%12% (won 89% of 431)19% (won 100% of 107)14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo000x53757615de1c42b83f893b79d4241a009dc2aeeaBreakTheBankbeachboy4
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $3.3KYes $274K—
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $214No $202K—
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $348Yes $85K—
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $3.5KYes $31K—
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $815No $30K—
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $897Yes $22K—
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $161Yes $2.6K—
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.3K—Yes $65
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $9Yes $230—