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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo000xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495BreakTheBankndb1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market55% (14722–12207, n=26929)45% (549–663, n=1212)65% (876–462, n=1338)
Consensus PnL—$346K$11.2M$4.2M
Tracked as—PM monthly #153PM monthly #2PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position59% (258 of 436 open)68% (30 of 44 open)79% (19 of 24 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Esports +18 pts n=2719, ROI +13%
  • Tennis +18 pts n=671, ROI +15%
  • NBA +19 pts n=101, ROI +1%
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
Weakest topic—Economy −1 pts, n=123—NFL −10 pts, n=132
Settled positions, side won—47% of 13889 at avg 38¢, ROI +8%97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢—52% (won 11% of 7196)10% (won 81% of 57)13% (won 16% of 160)
Entries 30–50¢—13% (won 60% of 1788)36% (won 98% of 201)20% (won 40% of 253)
Entries 50–70¢—12% (won 89% of 1712)35% (won 99% of 196)24% (won 57% of 310)
Entries 70¢ and up—23% (won 98% of 3193)19% (won 100% of 109)43% (won 93% of 544)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo000xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495BreakTheBankndb1
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $144Yes $50K—
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $4.3KYes $16K—
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $38Yes $12K—
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $763No $2.9K—
Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $4No $2.7K—
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $20No $802—
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $248Yes $63K—
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
same side · consensus No
—No $938No $56K—
Will Republicans win Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $5Yes $51K—
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
—No $489No $31K—
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $168Yes $22K—
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus No
—No $209No $12K—
Will Republicans win Alaska and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $1Yes $4.1K—
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $47Yes $28—