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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 00gringo00 | a8999 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 44% (1092–1391, n=2483) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 65% (862–456, n=1318) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.5M | -$217K | $11.1M | $4.1M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #19 | was PM monthly #939 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #69 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 85% (140 of 164 open) | 71% (52 of 73 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 |
| Settled positions, side won | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 51% of 2016 at avg 45¢, ROI +6% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 17% (won 22% of 341) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 13% (won 16% of 160) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 38% (won 49% of 771) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 20% (won 39% of 252) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 41% (won 61% of 828) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 24% (won 57% of 306) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 4% (won 80% of 76) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 43% (won 93% of 540) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.