← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 00gringo00 | alvahunter | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 34% (22–42, n=64) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 66% (875–457, n=1332) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.5M | -$1.7K | $11.0M | $4.1M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #685 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #22 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 85% (160 of 188 open) | 72% (91 of 127 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 |
| Settled positions, side won | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 85% of 26 at avg 43¢, ROI +50% | 97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 35% (won 78% of 9) | 10% (won 79% of 58) | 13% (won 16% of 160) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 23% (won 83% of 6) | 36% (won 98% of 200) | 20% (won 39% of 252) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 38% (won 90% of 10) | 35% (won 99% of 194) | 24% (won 57% of 306) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 4% (won 100% of 1) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 43% (won 93% of 540) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.