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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo00beachboy4BreakTheBankCUTJALENHURTS
Record (consensus markets)no settled marketno settled market46% (560–665, n=1225)52% (5357–4920, n=10277)
Consensus PnL——$11.2M$638K
Tracked as——PM monthly #2PM monthly #56
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position48% (10 of 21 open)62% (85 of 137 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
Weakest topic———Golf −2 pts, n=108
Settled positions, side won——97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%54% of 10170 at avg 51¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢——10% (won 81% of 57)13% (won 19% of 1341)
Entries 30–50¢——36% (won 98% of 201)35% (won 46% of 3607)
Entries 50–70¢——35% (won 99% of 196)35% (won 61% of 3523)
Entries 70¢ and up——19% (won 100% of 109)17% (won 86% of 1699)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo00beachboy4BreakTheBankCUTJALENHURTS
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $28No $18K
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $1.0KNo $15K
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $2.2KNo $4.8K
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
——No $765KNo $14K
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $22KYes $2.0K
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $15KYes $811
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $2.6KYes $376
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $80Yes $1.6K
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $164Yes $42