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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eBreakTheBankndb1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)67% (2248–1132, n=3380)41% (589–853, n=1442)63% (1095–632, n=1727)75% (2542–853, n=3395)
Consensus PnL$156K$7.7M$4.6M$3.7M
Tracked asPM monthly #146PM monthly #1PM monthly #111PM monthly #73
Sides with the consensus65% (30 of 46 open)83% (40 of 48 open)71% (70 of 98 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topic——NFL −8 pts, n=147Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won100% of 1506 at avg 72¢, ROI +12%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 100% of 78)10% (won 82% of 60)13% (won 14% of 187)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢12% (won 100% of 181)36% (won 98% of 212)19% (won 39% of 269)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢23% (won 100% of 345)35% (won 100% of 205)23% (won 57% of 328)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up60% (won 100% of 902)20% (won 100% of 116)44% (won 94% of 622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eBreakTheBankndb1S-Works
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $646No $300K——
Texans vs. Chargers
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
Texans $786Chargers $294K——
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $367Yes $197K——
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2No $7.1K——
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $423KNo $346K—
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $304KYes $12K—
Packers vs. Patriots
same side · consensus Packers
Packers $92Packers $104K——
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
Yes $207Yes $13K——
76ers vs. Bulls
same side · consensus 76ers
Bulls $1.1KBulls $7.0K——
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?
same side · consensus No
No $616No $527——