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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | AppleTiime | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (38–40, n=78) | 100% (1–0, n=1) | 42% (124–171, n=295) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | -$384K | $7.3K | $175K | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #39 | PM monthly #483 | PM monthly #36 | PM monthly #160 |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (7 of 11 open) | no open consensus position | 69% (27 of 39 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | College Football −5 pts, n=37 | — | NFL −8 pts, n=71 |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 50% of 316 at avg 47¢, ROI +3% | 100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47% | 54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 13% (won 20% of 40) | 6% (won 100% of 9) | 19% (won 10% of 96) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 37% (won 45% of 117) | 42% (won 100% of 63) | 21% (won 35% of 105) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 49% (won 61% of 156) | 40% (won 100% of 61) | 27% (won 54% of 132) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 1% (won 67% of 3) | 12% (won 100% of 18) | 33% (won 91% of 163) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | AppleTiime | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Heat (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Heat $52K | — | Jazz $17K | — |
| Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $18K | — | Under $742 | — |
| Knoxville: Giles Hussey vs Michael Zheng opposite sides · consensus Giles Hussey | Giles Hussey $6.0K | — | Michael Zheng $4.2K | — |
| WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Linda Noskova same side · consensus Coco Gauff | Coco Gauff $39K | — | Coco Gauff $3.5K | — |
| Knoxville: Ozan Baris vs Oliver Tarvet same side · consensus Oliver Tarvet | Oliver Tarvet $1.0K | — | Oliver Tarvet $8.7K | — |
| Spread: Bowling Green (-5.5) same side · consensus Kent State | Kent State $192 | — | Kent State $1.2K | — |