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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankMadridTimeprimm
Record (consensus markets)58% (4522–3297, n=7819)45% (573–710, n=1283)49% (955–1002, n=1957)50% (1106–1118, n=2224)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$7.9M$20K$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #68PM monthly #3PM monthly #563PM monthly #46
Sides with the consensus62% (18 of 29 open)82% (23 of 28 open)50% (125 of 251 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • NBA +48 pts n=71, ROI +49%
  • Soccer +23 pts n=369, ROI +27%
  • Tennis +21 pts n=32, ROI +21%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134———
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 501 at avg 72¢, ROI +30%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)11% (won 80% of 61)5% (won 100% of 26)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)35% (won 98% of 203)17% (won 100% of 85)41% (won 99% of 412)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)35% (won 100% of 201)19% (won 100% of 94)50% (won 99% of 503)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)20% (won 100% of 115)59% (won 100% of 296)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

12 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankMadridTimeprimm
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $215K—No $37—
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.5KYes $45K——
Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $28—No $10K—
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $6.3K—Under $84—
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.2K—Under $29—
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $10—No $1.9K—
Will NEC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $573—No $631—
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Taylor Fritz
same side · consensus Taylor Fritz
Taylor Fritz $165K—Taylor Fritz $27K—
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $44K—No $352—
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $37K—Under $213—
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)
same side · consensus KKS Lech Poznań
KKS Lech Poznań $23K—KKS Lech Poznań $2.5K—
Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
No $14K—No $748—
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $1.2K—No $12K—
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
No $4.2K—No $135—
Cali: Julia Riera vs Renata Zarazua
same side · consensus Julia Riera
Julia Riera $1.2K—Julia Riera $1.6K—
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $42—No $2.4K—
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $206—No $2.0K—
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
No $304—No $44—
Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $71—No $214—