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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | robustmst | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (62–68, n=130) | 75% (739–246, n=985) | 55% (201–167, n=368) | 42% (13–18, n=31) |
| Consensus PnL | -$290K | $69K | $227K | $208K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #28 |
| Sides with the consensus | 33% (2 of 6 open) | 68% (68 of 100 open) | 62% (33 of 53 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| |
| Weakest topic | — | Soccer −8 pts, n=40 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 67 at avg 60¢, ROI +35% | 44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23% | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 100% of 13 at avg 45¢, ROI +50% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 0% of 1) | 34% (won 10% of 30) | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 94% of 17) | 19% (won 29% of 17) | 32% (won 100% of 31) | 85% (won 100% of 11) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 49% (won 100% of 33) | 13% (won 55% of 11) | 57% (won 100% of 55) | 15% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 100% of 16) | 34% (won 83% of 30) | 10% (won 100% of 10) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | robustmst |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Magic (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Magic $34K | — | Jazz $914 | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Lakers | — | Lakers $10 | Bucks $2.8K | — |
| Nets vs. Pelicans: O/U 230.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $65 | Under $1.0K | — |
| Spread: Rockets (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Warriors | — | Warriors $125 | Rockets $82 | — |
| Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $83 | Under $2.7K | — |
| Warriors vs. Rockets same side · consensus Rockets | — | Rockets $1.4K | Rockets $838 | — |
| Seahawks vs. Raiders same side · consensus Seahawks | — | Seahawks $542 | Seahawks $1.5K | — |
| Vikings vs. Packers same side · consensus Vikings | Vikings $93 | — | Vikings $1.9K | — |
| Chiefs vs. Falcons same side · consensus Falcons | — | Falcons $165 | Falcons $1.2K | — |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | — | Colts $49 | Colts $1.1K | — |
| Saint Peter's Peacocks vs. South Carolina Gamecocks: O/U 129.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $17 | Over $430 | — |
| Spread: Rockets (-6.5) same side · consensus Rockets | — | Rockets $3 | Rockets $57 | — |